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Friday, October 29, 2010

Sharron Angle Poised To Defeat Harry Reid In Nevada Senate Race

First the first time we see, via Real Clear Politics, three separate polls from different polling organizations, all conducted in late October, showing Sharron Angle with a four point lead over the Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid.

The polls:

LVRJ/Mason-Dixon- Angle 49 percent, Reid 45.
Rasmussen Reports- Angle 49 percent, Reid 45.
CNN/Time- Angle 49 percent, Reid 45.

If Angle wins, this will be the biggest upset in the 2010 election and as the latest Sharron Angle ad shows (shown above), her closing argument to the people of Nevada is simply to tie Harry Reid to Barack Obama stating at the end, "it's our turn."

Via Las Vegas Review Journal, we see that handicapper and director of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia, Larry Sabato, has rated Nevada as "leaning GOP," although he readily admits Nevada is one of the hardest races to call at this point.

Larry Sabato, director of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia, is one of the few national pundits to risk predicting Angle could pull off the biggest upset of the 2010 election. On Thursday, he put out his "crystal ball" picks that has the Nevada race leaning GOP for the first time.

"Of all our predictions, I'm least certain about the Senate race in Nevada," Sabato acknowledged in an interview. "Our assumption is, independents around the country have moved solidly behind the Republicans. But the Democrats are throwing everything they've got at the effort to save Reid. If Reid survives, it will be an escape worthy of Houdini. If Angle wins, it's a measure of the strong anti-Democratic trends of the 2010 mid-term elections.

"This is a referendum on Reid and Obama."

Angle gets 85 percent of the Republican vote and Reid 84 percent of the Democratic vote and Angle holds a double digit lead over Reid with Independents, 55 percent to 38 percent.

This one is going down to the wire and Democrats have been throwing everything but the kitchen sink at Nevada to help drag Reid over the finish line, yet polling patterns show Angle still continuing to pick up percentage points, albeit one-to-two points at a time.