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Wednesday, October 08, 2008

Can The Gloves Off Approach Be Working?

When Sarah Palin took off the gloves and the McCain campaign started making the "Joe Six-Pack crowd aware of Obama's connections to people like Domestic terrorist William Ayers, and Anti-American Jeremiah Wright as well as McCain showing how much monies Barack Obama has received from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (Obama is one of the top three recipients), it seems the new polling results have started showing an uptick for the McCain campaign cutting into Obama's lead.

Zogby has Obama's lead down to a 1.9 percentage point, within the margin of error, HotLine has it at Obama/Biden 4 5percent, McCain/Palin 44 percent with nine percent undecided.

An important note from the HotLine data:

McCain, however, now has his largest lead ever on energy issues. 46% favor the GOP nominee on managing U.S. energy policies, and 40% favor Obama. One week ago, in the survey completed 9/30, Obama led 46-40% on energy.

Today's Diageo/Hotline tracking poll, conducted 10/5-7 by FD, surveyed 904 LVs and has a margin of error of +/- 3.3%. Party ID Breakdown for the sample is 41%D, 36%R, 18%I.

So, Obama holds a one percentage point lead yet the sample shows 5 percent more Democratic respondents than Republican.

The chart from BattleGround is interesting as well showing over the last week, McCain's levels rising and Obama's lowering, although Obama still holds a 4 percent lead over McCain.

If the pattern continues as is, that won't last though.

still shows McCain down by 6 percent, but he was down by eight... is this a trend emerging in multiple polls?

None of this reflects last night's debate, but now that people know what questions to ask about Obama, perhaps they will start digging into his radical associations, questionable votes, voting record and these numbers will continue in the pattern this week is beginning to show.

Polls are only a snapshot, a guide to tell us patterns and trends and when used for that direct purpose they can be handy but they cannot tell us how people will definitely vote when they go to the polling booths.

Hopefully enough people will understand that Obama's rhetoric might comforting, but he hasn't the record behind him to back up his lofty promises.

Note to the John McCain campaign- Do not forget about Rezko, Meeks and ACORN... people need to know it all in order to make an informed decision.