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Friday, May 16, 2008

Hillary Clinton's New Ad: Ignore The Pundits


(YouTube for email subscribers where video doesn't show)

As the media and pundits online and off continue to beat the drum about Hillary Clinton having no chance to win the Democratic nomination for presidency, hailing Barack Obama as the winner, Clinton produces a new ad telling voters to ignore the pundits.
"In Washington, they talk about who's up and who's down. In Oregon, we care about what's right and what's wrong."

That is how the ad begins and it goes on to say, "She's been right when it matters. She'll be there when it counts."

Barack Obama has a large lead in the delegate count and almost all the major media outlets, pundits and bloggers have counted Hillary Clinton out of the contest at this point.

Clinton on the other hand has made it clear she is not giving up without a fight.

On Tuesday, May 20, 2008, Kentucky and Oregon hold their primaries and although Clinton is poised to take Kentucky by about the same massive lead as she took West Virginia according to the latest Kentucky polling, Obama is leading in the latest Oregon polling with a double digit lead.

Media pundits hails her success in West Virginia as a "surge" of sorts but they ask if it isn't too late to do anything for her campaign and instead is only creating doubt about the eventual nominee which they declare is Obama.

Campaigns can end on thin ice. The question confronting Democrats is whether Clinton's surge is coming too late for anything but providing fuel to lingering doubts among some Democrats that they are about to nominate the weaker of two strong candidates against Sen. McCain of Arizona.

While the majority seems to think that Clinton's latest wins cannot do much to save her from losing the Democratic nomination, are her attempts to cast doubt on Obama's electability going to harm his chances in the general election against John McCain if popular thought is right and Obama takes the nomination?

Are Democratic supporters starting to doubt the consequences of Obama's rise to an almost assured nomination for presidency for the Democrats?

The latest Gallup polling shows that "After leading Hillary Clinton for three days by a statistically significant six percentage point margin, Barack Obama now only has a 4-point advantage in national Democratic preferences, 48% to 44%, according to Gallup Poll Daily tracking from May 13-15."

Gallup Poll Daily interviewing on Thursday, May 15 showed Clinton leading Obama by a few percentage points, after several days of Obama in the lead. The resulting slight narrowing of the race -- returning it to a statistical dead heat -- is typical of the way the contest has gone over the past several months, with neither candidate able to maintain a significant lead among national Democratic voters for very long.

Is this latest ad a last ditch attempt to create doubt about Obama's electability to simply poise herself to argue the point to the superdelegates that have not committed?

Or does Hillary Clinton truly believe that Barack Obama cannot win against John McCain in November?