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Tuesday, November 06, 2007

It Doesn't Matter How Much Ron Paul Raises

The bees are buzzing about Ron Paul raising over $4 million dollars in 24 hours in online donations, but does that having any meaning in the scheme of things.

Lets take a look.. ABC reports his goal is $12 million by years end to which he now has raised $5 million and has 2 months to reach his goal.

Who are the donors is answered by ABC.

"Remember, Remember, the fifth of November," cries the call for cash.

The catchy slogan comes from a nursery rhyme about Guy Fawkes, the 17th-century crusader for Catholics rights caught in the basement of parliament with 36 barrels of gunpowder. He failed in his mission to blow the place up.

Remember, remember the Fifth of November,
The Gunpowder Treason and Plot,
I know of no reason
Why Gunpowder Treason
Should ever be forgot.
Guy Fawkes, Guy Fawkes, t'was his intent
To blow up King and Parli'ment.
Three-score barrels of powder below
To prove old England's overthrow;
By God's providence he was catch'd
With a dark lantern and burning match.
Holloa boys, holloa boys, let the bells ring.
Holloa boys, holloa boys, God save the King!

A penny loaf to feed the Pope
A farthing o' cheese to choke him.
A pint of beer to rinse it down.
A faggot of sticks to burn him.
Burn him in a tub of tar.
Burn him like a blazing star.
Burn his body from his head.
Then we'll say ol' Pope is dead.
Hip hip hoorah!
Hip hip hoorah hoorah!

Kids and their nursery Rhymes need to remember something.

Guy Fawkes failed in his mission to blow the place up.

Further problems for Ron Paul and his supporters, Hat tip to Hot Air, is that he still trails Romney, Giuliani, McCain and Thompson in monies raised.

The congressman from Texas's 14th District has been in and out of Congress three times, so he has some fundraising experience. He ranked fifth in fundraising among GOP candidates during the 3rd Quarter, though he trails the first four by a wide margin.

He also cannot seem to top 3.6% as his RCP polling average from all the well known polls, coming in behind Romney, Giuliani, McCain, Huckabee and Thompson.

So, how will his online success play out in real life actual voting?

That remains to be seen but if the numbers in the polls mean anything, I doubt he will even make it to the primaries.

Power Line points out:

I have two responses. First, Paul has been a highly visible presence in this race for some time and does not do well in the polls. Even in New Hampshire (the "Live Free or Die" state), the Real Clear Politics average has him at 3.6 percent. In Rasmussen's poll, he's at 2 percent. One poll, by St. Anselm's college, shows him with 7 percent. That looks like an outlier, but let's assume instead that it's evidence of a trend others have missed -- 7 percent isn't going to get much done. In short, Ron Paul is not a serious force at this juncture, and there's no reason why the fact that 40,000 people saw fit to give him money should cause the rest of the population to give him a second (or a first) look.

[...]The only other seriously distinguishing feature of the campaign is that it's nutty. Being anti-war is respectable, but Paul's opposition to the war is founded on conspiracy theories, over-the-top isolationism, and an unhealthy dose of hostility to Israel. Paul's opposition to big government is not a distinguishing feature. There are plenty of other Republican candidates this cycle who embrace small government conservatism. Again, the only only distinguishing feature of Paul's small government platform is its nuttiness -- the gold standard, the Federal Reserve conspiracy stuff, etc.

Republicans should respond to voters who find Ron Paul appealing with a cold shoulder.

The $4 million plus from over 40,000+ people is impressive, too bad those that donated will have so little to show for it after the primaries.