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Sunday, September 30, 2012

Drop In Democratic Registration In Ohio Matches Nationwide Trend: Third Way Report Embedded

By Susan Duclos

Fox News reports that voter registration is down in Ohio, especially in Democratic strongholds:

Voter registration in the Buckeye State is down by 490,000 people from four years ago. Of that reduction, 44 percent is in Cleveland and surrounding Cuyahoga County, where Democrats outnumber Republicans more than two to one.

"I think what we're seeing is a lot of spin and hype on the part of the Obama campaign to try to make it appear that they're going to cruise to victory in Ohio," Cuyahoga County Republican Chairman Rob Frost said. "It's not just Cuyahoga County. Nearly 350,000 of those voters are the decrease in the rolls in the three largest counties, Cuyahoga, Hamilton and Franklin."

Frost points out that those three counties all contain urban centers, where the largest Democrat vote traditionally has been.

Fox points to a recent report from a Democratic think tank which shows that massive drop in Democratic registration is being seen in other battleground states as well, a report I highlighted back in mid August and is embedded below;

From that piece:


• Democratic registration is down by 800,329, or 5.2%, since 2008.

•Republican registration is down by by 78,985, or 0.7%,

• Independent registration has increased by 486,677, or 6.4%

Via Page 2 of the PDF from Third Way

In 6 of the 8 states—Colorado, Florida, Nevada, New Mexico, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania—Independent registration has outpaced both Democratic and Republican registration since 2008. In the remaining two, Republicans have had the edge—likely the result of the competitive GOP primary. In Iowa, Republican registration increased by 6.4% while Democratic and, to a lesser extent, Independent registration fell. In New Hampshire, voter registration has declined across the board; however, Republicans have shed the fewest voters.

Third Way Registration Report