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Wednesday, August 15, 2012

As The Elections Draws Closer, Obama's Reelection Campaign Unravels

By Susan Duclos

U.S. satisfaction is low, dissatisfaction is very high, Independents are now favoring Romney, Democratic voter registration has dropped 10 times more than Republican registration, Independent registration in battleground states are up by nearly half a million and for the first time, Mitt Romney tops 40 percent of the youth vote.

Below is some news from over the last couples days, from a variety of sources, news outlets, pollsters and even a Democratic think tank, all of which clearly shows a presidential reelection campaign unraveling before Obama's very eyes.

An August 15, 2012 release from Gallup shows that 75 percent of voters are dissatisfied with the way things are going in the United States and that the economy and jobs continue to be the overriding factor in their dissatisfaction.

 Democratic think tank Third Way provides the numbers for voter registration in eight key battleground states.

Findings:

• Democratic registration is down by 800,329, or 5.2%, since 2008.

•Republican registration is down by by 78,985, or 0.7%,

• Independent registration has increased by 486,677, or 6.4%


Via Page 2 of the PDF from Third Way (linked above):

In 6 of the 8 states—Colorado, Florida, Nevada, New Mexico, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania—Independent registration has outpaced both Democratic and Republican registration since 2008. In the remaining two, Republicans have had the edge—likely the result of the competitive GOP primary. In Iowa, Republican registration increased by 6.4% while Democratic and, to a lesser extent, Independent registration fell. In New Hampshire, voter registration has declined across the board; however, Republicans have shed the fewest voters.

With even the Democratic think tank acknowledging that Independents will play an important role in determining the outcome in battleground states, which both Mitt Romney and Barack Obama need to win, the next bit of news isn't welcomed by Obama.

According to pollster John Zogby, managing director of JZ Analytics, the Republican ticket is now garnering 45.2 percent among Independent voters compared to just 40.1 percent for the Democratic ticket.

Furthermore, Zogby tells Washington Examiner that for the first time this election cycle, Mitt Romney has topped the 40 percent mark with support from youth voters, 18-29 year olds.

"This is the first time I am seeing Romney's numbers this high among 18-29 year olds," said Zogby. "This could be trouble for Obama who needs every young voter he can get."


Another concern or Obama, as was previously expressed in fundraising emails sent to Obama supporters, was that the Romney camp raised significantly more money for three straight months than the Obama camp raised.


Now the Obama emails are expressing concern and seem quite disturbed by the crowd size showing up for Team Romney since the announcement of Paul Ryan as his running mate.

Paul --
I just got this disturbing report: Yesterday's Romney-Ryan rally in North Carolina pulled in an overflow crowd of 15,000 people.
There's no spinning that number. It's a LOT of people, and the Republican base in energized.
And that's not all. Since the VP announcement, Romney's campaign has brought in over 70,000 donations from his Tea Party base.
We've got to step up our game and mobilize our supporters -- starting right now.
Donate $3 or right now to help us rally our base around President Obama's agenda >>
Listen to what one Republican supporter said about Paul Ryan: "I love him...He's going to excite the Tea Party and get them on board..."
We can't let the Republicans claim the momentum. Donate $3 or whatever you can:
http://dccc.org/Stand-With-President-Obama
Thanks,
Brynne
Brynne Craig

When the news of the week is looked at together instead of separately, the big picture starts emerging and the pattern of momentum for Romney/Ryan less than three months before the November presidential election, gives a better understanding as to why the attacks against Romney and Ryan  by team Obama, have bcome much more personal in nature and completely avoid the issues the American people find as priorities, which are the economy and jobs.

As Mitt Romney pointed out in Ohio on Tuesday, Obama's campaign has become one of  "division and anger and hate," and that stems from watching his reelection camapign unravel at the speed of light.

"This is what an angry and desperate presidency looks like. He won't win that way."----Mitt Romney