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Monday, August 30, 2010

Chances Of GOP Takeover Of The House Continue To Rise; UPDATE- Senate In Play As Well


Nine and a half weeks to go until the midterm elections and the chance for a Republican takeover of the House of Representatives is looking more likely, according to The Hill:

The playing field of competitive House races has expanded substantially over the past two months, increasing the chances that Republicans will control the lower chamber next year.

The news is good for Republicans, as many open seats are trending to the GOP while dozens of Democratic incumbents are scrambling to keep their jobs.

Democratic leaders are on the defensive, making the case they can still retain the majority in November while playing defense in districts they weren't expecting to be concerned about earlier in the cycle.

As the election environment has worsened for Democrats amid troubling new economic and polling data, Republicans have become increasingly bullish in their projections of major House gains.

The National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) vice chairman, Rep. Kevin McCarthy (Calif.), predicted Wednesday that as many as 80 seats will be in play this fall.

Over the past two weeks, Republican campaigns have gleefully blasted out internal numbers claiming leads for their challengers in districts that were considered safe bets for Democrats to retain.

The mood in Democratic and Republican circles is strikingly different from more than three months ago, when Mark Critz (D) easily won the special election to replace the late Rep. John Murtha (D-Pa.). That GOP loss stifled talk of Republicans winning control of the House in November. But the chatter is back, and it’s backed up by nonpartisan analysts.

As the article goes on to explain, Democrats will be putting considerable effort into a "get-out-the-vote campaign, encouraging Democratic supporters to go to the polls in November to help them retain their seats and control of the House of Representatives.

Last Friday news hit that voters now trust the GOP on all ten key issues they were questioned on, more than they trust Democrats and Republicans hold a nine point lead on the Generic Congressional Ballot, all signs that the chance of a GOP takeover of the House is still rising.

Voters will determine that, voters unhappy with the way Washington has been run since Democrats took control of the House and Senate, voters unhappy with the way it has been run and the bills jammed through since Obama became president.

It all comes down to getting to the polls, casting your vote. If you are unhappy with how Washington is being run, the only way to change it is to go vote on November 2nd.

No matter what the new projections are, no matter how much of the country believes the country is on the wrong track (62 percent via RCP average of the latest 6 polls done), no matter how much of a majority lambastes Democrats for the way they have jammed through Obama's agenda in the House and Senate, if those same people do not go to voting booths in November and throw the Democrats out, they will retain control.

[Update] Even control of the Senate is not out of the realm of possibility anymore.