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Monday, July 28, 2008

USA TODAY/Gallup Poll Shows McCain Ahead Of Obama By Four Points Among 'Likely Voters'

It is one poll but in conjunction with others showing that Obama is ticking down some, right after his week long trek across the world which everyone thought would give him some "bounce", the numbers should start worrying the Democrats.

Republican presidential candidate John McCain moved from being behind by 6 points among "likely" voters a month ago to a 4-point lead over Democrat Barack Obama among that group in the latest USA TODAY/Gallup Poll. McCain still trails slightly among the broader universe of "registered" voters. By both measures, the race is tight.

The Friday-Sunday poll, mostly conducted as Obama was returning from his much-publicized overseas trip and released just this hour, shows McCain now ahead 49%-45% among voters that Gallup believes are most likely to go to the polls in November. In late June, he was behind among likely voters, 50%-44%.

The new RCP National Average has Obama's lead over McCain dipping to 3.2 percent and Obama has lost a little in both the Rasmussen and Gallup polls.

Snapshots of a particular moment in time and as the days go by, we will see if it will become the trend.

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