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Wednesday, November 11, 2009

Republicans Take The Lead In Gallup's Generic Congressional Ballot

Gallup headlines with "Republicans Edge Ahead of Democrats in 2010 Vote," sub header "Registered voters prefer Republicans for the House, 48% to 44%"

Republicans have moved ahead of Democrats by 48% to 44% among registered voters in the latest update on Gallup's generic congressional ballot for the 2010 House elections, after trailing by six points in July and two points last month.

I am always saying it is the Independents that should be watched.

The numbers there are rising for the Republicans as well.

As was the case in last Tuesday's gubernatorial elections, independents are helping the Republicans' cause. In the latest poll, independent registered voters favor the Republican candidate by 52% to 30%. Both parties maintain similar loyalty from their bases, with 91% of Democratic registered voters preferring the Democratic candidate and 93% of Republican voters preferring the Republican.

Although handicappers are predicting double digit losses fro Democrats in the House in 2010, Republicans are seriously considering the idea that they can take 41 and at the rate the Democrats are losing support and the Republicans are gaining it, what was considered over reaching just weeks ago, now very well could be possible, if not probable.