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Monday, October 29, 2012

Rasmussen: Romney Takes The Lead In Ohio, Hits 50 Percent

By Susan Duclos

Rasmussen polling has Romney in the lead in Ohio for the very first time with Mitt Romney at 50 percent and Barack Obama at 48 percent.

The race for Ohio’s Electoral College votes remains very close, but now Mitt Romney now has a two-point advantage.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters shows Romney with 50% support to President Obama’s 48%. One percent (1%) likes some other candidate, while another one percent (1%) remains undecided.

Among all Ohio voters, Romney now has a 12-point lead over the president in voter trust – 53% to 41% - when it comes to the economy. Last week, he had just a seven-point advantage among voters in the state when they were asked which candidate they trusted more to deal with the economy.

Romney’s also trusted more by eight points in the areas of job creation and energy policy but leads Obama by just two when it comes to housing issues.

National security has been an area where the president has typically had an advantage over Romney this year. But, the Republican challenger now has a 52% to 42% advantage on the issue. 

If Romney walks away with Ohio, his path to 270 electoral votes, which is needed to win the presidential election, becomes far easier.

Rasmussen has been ahead of curve this whole election cycle because they have been using the "likely voter" model for months. For example, Gallup had Obama ahead until they started using the "likely voter" model vs "registered voters", and as soon as Gallup switched, Romney jumped into the lead with their seven day rolling average, with anywhere from 3 to 7 points.