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Tuesday, October 30, 2012

Gallup: Romney Leads Obama With Early Voters By 6 Percent

By Susan Duclos

 Gallup finds that out of the 15 percent of voters who have already cast their vote for the Presidential Election, 52 percent have cast that vote for Mitt Romney and 45 percent cast theirs for Barack Obama.

Romney currently leads Obama 52% to 45% among voters who say they have already cast their ballots. However, that is comparable to Romney's 51% to 46% lead among all likely voters in Gallup's Oct. 22-28 tracking polling. At the same time, the race is tied at 49% among those who have not yet voted but still intend to vote early, suggesting these voters could cause the race to tighten. However, Romney leads 51% to 45% among the much larger group of voters who plan to vote on Election Day, Nov. 6.

(Note- The Gallup chart shows a 6 point advantage in the "already voted" category, for Romney. The paragraph above the chart, from Gallup indicates a 7 point advantage. Headline changed to reflect the 6 point difference shown in the chart vs the Gallup text)


As the chart above shows, Romney and Obama are tied with voters planning to vote early but have not voted yet, but Romney also holds a six point lead with those planning to vote on election day.

Other findings in the Gallup survey:

• By 19% to 15%, a slightly higher percentage of Republicans than Democrats have already voted

• When those who intend to vote before Election Day are factored in, the gap is similar: 37% of Republicans vs. 33% of Democrats.

• 2012 Early Voters Are Older, Concentrated in the West

(Headline corrected to reflect Gallup chart vs Gallup text)