In the 11 states Obama won in 2008 that Rasmussen finds competitive in 2012, which collectively hold 146 Electoral College votes, Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin, Mitt Romney has hit the 50 percent mark and holds a five percent lead over Barack Obama, 50 to 45 percent..
In the 11 swing states, Mitt Romney earns 50% of the vote to Obama’s 45%. Two percent (2%) like another candidate in the race, and four percent (4%) are undecided.
This is now the third time Romney has hit the 50% mark in the combined swing states in the past four days and is the biggest lead either candidate has held in nearly three weeks. This survey is conducted on a rolling seven-day basis, and as a result, virtually all of the interviews for today’s update were completed before the end of last night’s presidential debate. Romney has now held a modest lead for 12 of the last 15 days; Obama was ahead twice, and the candidates ran even once.
In 2008, Obama won these states by a combined margin of 53% to 46%, virtually identical to his national margin.
Romney now leads by 16 points among male voters in the swing states and trails by three points among female voters.
In the Rasmussen daily tracking poll, Romney holds a four point lead over Obama nationally, 50 to 46 percent.
Gallup's daily tracking poll has had Romney leading by six and seven points for the last six days (Today's release will be at 1pm ET)