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Thursday, June 17, 2010

Boozman Vs Lincoln- Arakansas Senate Polling Numbers Look Great For Republican Takeover Of Seat

Democratic Senator Blanche Lincoln is trailing Republican challenger John Boozman for the Arkansas Senate seat, with Rasmussen showing Boozman with a 29 percent lead over Lincoln.

Boozman earns 61% of the vote, while Lincoln, coming off her Democratic Primary runoff win last week, picks up 32% support. Four percent (4%) favor some other candidate in the race, while just three percent (3%) remain undecided.

Independents, who will probably be a large factor in almost every election held in November 2010, favor Boozman by a 79 percent to 15 percent margin.

Real Clear Politics averages, using the last three polls from different sources, puts Boozman at a 22 percent advantage over Lincoln.

Election projection, as of June 9, 2010, before updating with Rasmussen's new poll, has the Arkansas Senate election listed as "Mod Boozman to Solid Boozman", by 17 percent.

Political Handicapper The Rothenberg Political Report has Arkansas listed as "lean Republican" as well.

With Lincoln's high unfavorables in her own state of Arkansas, there is no doubt that the Arkansas Senate seat will change from Democratic hands to Republican hands with a Boozman win.