By Susan Duclos
Obama's agenda for his second term has Democrats worried and expressing concern about his tone-deafness as
Politico describes it, with his focus on cultural issues like gun control, immigration and gay marriage.
To net 17 seats and flip the chamber, Democrats have to win
predominantly on GOP turf, in districts that Mitt Romney won and where
Obama and his agenda are unpopular. A number of Democrats made clear in
interviews that the more partisan posture Obama has adopted over the
past few months — particularly on cultural issues like gun control, and
to a lesser extent on immigration and gay marriage — is making an uphill
slog that much steeper.
“I think the tone coming out of the White House … could probably be
more conciliatory,” said Jim Graves, a Minnesota Democrat who nearly
knocked off Rep. Michele Bachmann last year in a suburban Twin Cities
district where Obama barely eclipsed 40 percent.
Graves, who’s girding for a rematch against Bachmann next year,
added, “There’s no question — Obama has taken a fairly liberal tack in
his second term. But I’m not here for the president. I’m here for the
people of the 6th Congressional District.”
Arkansas Democratic state Sen. Bruce Maloch said he’s considering
running for a House seat that tilts heavily Republican. But he, too, is
worried about the opposition tying him to a White House that has pivoted
left since November.
Democrats Express Concern About What Obama's 2nd Term Agend
“I’m an Arkansas Democrat,” Maloch said. “I would probably not go as far as the president on some of those issues.”
There are also comments from Democratic strategists who do not see Obama as a problem.
The three-page Politico piece as well, as some of the quotes from those supportive of Obama's agenda, shows a line of thinking on the writer's part as well as the Democratic operatives, that is just as tone-deaf as they accuse Obama of being.
Examples:
“Every poll shows two-thirds or more of the American public sides with
President Obama and House Democrats on our agenda, and it’s Republicans
who are on defense in the suburban and exurban communities that are
critical to winning in 2014,” said Jesse Ferguson, deputy executive
director of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.
[...]
If there’s one issue that Democrats worry could become sticky in 2014
races, it’s gun control. While party strategists believe that the
president’s forceful advocacy of immigration reform and gay marriage
tracks with shifts in public opinion, opposition to new restrictions on
guns is palpable in many conservative pockets of the country.
“In some of those conservative to moderate districts, the gun debate
is a real challenge for Democratic candidates,” said Andrew Myers, a
Democratic pollster who advises many candidates in conservative states.
What they all are missing isn't how the public feels on specific issues, but as I pointed out a few days ago, Americans priorities are not being addressed while Obama and liberals focus is on immigration, gun control and gay marriage.
Americans top concerns, what they consider priorities, consistently, and among a variety of polling organizations, such as
CBS, Bloomberg, CNN, NPR, NBC, are all fiscal issues, economic issues, ranging from the economy and jobs to the federal budget deficit.
That priority polling shows a 30, 40 and in some cases 50 percentage point increase for economic issues versus social issues. Liberal writers, liberal politicians and Barack Obama ignore that at their own risk.
This was the same mistake Obama and Democrats made before the 2010 midterm elections where they spent so much time focusing on jamming Obamacare through Congress, while giving lip service to economic issues, they ended up
losing over 60 seats in the House of Representatives, the largest turnover of seats in 60 years.
One last point that liberal Democrats and Obama seem to be ignoring, is the history of seats in Congress lost by the president's party in midterm elections, especially during a president's second term. Only Bill Clinton, who moved to the middle in his second term rather than further to the left as Obama has done, gained seats in the House of Representatives during their second term:
| Year |
President |
Party |
President Approval Rating - Late October |
House |
Senate |
| 1934 |
Franklin D. Roosevelt |
D |
nd |
+9 |
+9 |
| 1938 |
Franklin D. Roosevelt |
D |
60% |
-71 |
-6 |
| 1942 |
Franklin D. Roosevelt |
D |
nd |
-55 |
-9 |
| 1946 |
Harry S. Truman |
D |
27% |
-45 |
-12 |
| 1950 |
Harry S. Truman |
D |
41% |
-29 |
-6 |
| 1954 |
Dwight D. Eisenhower |
R |
nd |
-18 |
-1 |
| 1958 |
Dwight D. Eisenhower |
R |
nd |
-48 |
-13 |
| 1962 |
John F. Kennedy |
D |
61% |
-4 |
+3 |
| 1966 |
Lyndon B. Johnson |
D |
44% |
-47 |
-4 |
| 1970 |
Richard Nixon |
R |
nd |
-12 |
+2 |
| 1974 |
Gerald R. Ford |
R |
nd |
-48 |
-5 |
| 1978 |
Jimmy Carter |
D |
49% |
-15 |
-3 |
| 1982 |
Ronald Reagan |
R |
42% |
-26 |
+1 |
| 1986 |
Ronald Reagan |
R |
nd |
-5 |
-8 |
| 1990 |
George Bush |
R |
57% |
-8 |
-1 |
| 1994 |
William J. Clinton |
D |
48% |
-52 |
-8 |
| 1998 |
William J. Clinton |
D |
65% |
+5 |
0 |
| 2002 |
George W. Bush |
R |
67% |
+8 |
+2 |
| 2006 |
George W. Bush |
R |
37% |
-30 |
-6 |
