Ohio is undoubtedly an important state in this election cycle for both presidential candidates, Mitt Romney and incumbent Barack Obama, fighting tooth and nail for each and every vote.
According to Real Clear Politics averages of polling data, Obama leads Romney in Ohio by a 2.3 percent margin just tens days out from election day.
The problem is that the early voting data is inconsistent with the polling numbers being seen and the numbers touted by the Obama campaign.
Via Politico:
I have always been a believer in data telling me the full story. Truth is, nobody knows what will happen on Election Day. But here is what we do know: 220,000 fewer Democrats have voted early in Ohio compared with 2008. And 30,000 more Republicans have cast their ballots compared with four years ago. That is a 250,000-vote net increase for a state Obama won by 260,000 votes in 2008.
Polls are a snap shot and as the election gets closer they are usual predictive of a likely outcome, but polling doesn't count as actual votes.
The votes cast already from early voting, seems to be telling a different story than the polls are.
Fortunately, it is the voters that decide elections, not the pollsters.