Time shall tell..... [End Update]
This will be continually updated throughout the evening with the results as they come in for the GOP and the Democratic primaries and caucuses that will be held today.
For the Republicans, they will have a primary in Wisconsin and Washington, 40 delegates for each state at stake and 18 of Washington's 40 delegates were decided at a Feb. 9 caucus.
For the Democrats they will have a caucus in Hawaii and a primary in Wisconsin.
Below I will list a GOP category and below that will the Democratic category with each state listed under the appropriate category, all of which will be updated as numbers roll in.
Under that we will see what the latest polls show before the events begin.
GOP:
Wisconsin-McCain wins Wisconsin.
McCain 55%
Huckabee 37%
100% precincts reporting.
Washington-
Mccain 30%
Huckabee 27%
Paul 24%
87% reporting
DEMOCRATS:
Wisconsin- Fox shows that Obama is ahead in Wisconsin.
Obama 58%
Clinton 41%
100% precincts reporting.
Hawaii-Obama took Hawaii
Obama 76%
Clinton 24%
100% precincts reporting
Washington
Obama 64%
Clinton 30%
96% reporting
Results are subject to change until 100% of precincts report.
POLLS:
According to Gallup "Obama Gaining Among Middle-Aged, Women, Hispanics."
The momentum in the Democratic nomination race has clearly swung toward Barack Obama. Not only has he won all of the post-Super Tuesday contests, but he has steadily gained in Gallup Poll Daily tracking to the point where he has overtaken Clinton as the national leader for the first time, holding a statistically significant lead in each of the last three tracking poll results.
Obama's standing has improved among most Democratic subgroups over the past several days. But one of the more substantial shifts has been the changing preferences of middle-aged Democratic voters, who have moved away from Clinton and toward Obama in the past week. Obama has also made gains among three other groups that have favored Clinton throughout much of the campaign -- women, Hispanics, and self-identified Democrats. Obama and Clinton are now running even among these three key groups in the most recent Gallup tracking data.
Pollster links to a 7 page PDF file from the Public Policy Polling:
Obama 53, Clinton 40... McCain 50, Huckabee 39, Paul 6
ARG (American Research Group) shows what 10 days can do to a lead in our political atmosphere.
As of a survey done on February 6 and 7, "57% of likely Democratic primary voters said that Clinton was the only candidate they would vote for in the primary or that they preferred her over the other candidates, and 28% said that Obama was the only candidate they would vote for in the primary or that they preferred Obama over the other candidates.
10 days later, we see Obama takes the lead:
In our final survey conducted February 17 and 18, 43% of likely Democratic primary voters said that Clinton was the only candidate they would vote for in the primary or that they preferred her over the other candidates, and 46% said that Obama was the only candidate they would voter for in the primary or that they preferred him over the other candidates. A total of 27% of likely Democratic primary voters said in this survey that they would never vote for Clinton and 15% said they would never vote for Obama.
During the course of the campaign in Wisconsin, Clinton lost 14 percentage points of strong support (close to a 25% drop) and Obama gained 18 percentage points of strong support (over a 64% increase). Also, Clinton's strong negative increased by 10 percentage points while Obama's increased by 6 percentage points. That is political momentum for Obama.
This could stem from Obama's steady stream of wins on Feb. 9 and Feb. 12, 2008, or it could be the negative campaigning over the last weeks.
Either way, Hillary Clinton is going into Wisconsin as the underdog when 10 days ago she had the lead.
As the primaries and caucuses move along, we will continue to update so check back often to see the results later.
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