Recent polls from a variety of organizations has shown an enthusiasm gap favoring Republicans for the upcoming 2010 midterm elections where Republicans need to net 39 House seats to take control of the House of Representatives and 10 Senate seats to take control of the U.S. Senate.
Polls change, numbers vary from organization to organization, but the patterns noted have led handicappers to predict a GOP tsunami giving them a good shot at capturing at least the House of Representatives.
New reports from the American University's Center for the Study of the American Electorate show that according to their data, during the 2010 primaries, there was a 4 million vote gap favoring Republicans.
AP reports:
The study looked at the 35 statewide primaries held before Sept. 1, based on final and official results for the primaries before Aug. 17 and final but unofficial results for those primaries that occurred later. So far, more than 30 million people have cast ballots in the nominating contests.
Republicans had three more statewide contests than Democrats: Indiana, South Dakota and Utah. The total votes cast in those primaries was 826,603, hardly enough to explain the more than 4 million-vote gap between Republicans and Democrats.
Obama's own officials are admitting now that 70 House seats and 15 Senate seats are in play.
Via The Hill:
President Obama's top political guru said Tuesday that he believes 70 House races and 15 Senate races are in play this fall.
White House senior adviser David Plouffe — Obama's 2008 presidential campaign manager — said that a bevy of races were in play, from the national to local level.
"There are a lot of competitive races out there. There's going to be at least 70 House races in play, about 15 competitive Senate races, a couple dozen tough gubernatorial races," he said in a video to supporters of Organizing for America, the president's political arm.
Plouffe painted a picture of a dire electoral landscape in which, if Democrats were to lose the majority of those races, their losses would be massive.
A storm is brewing and it is due to hit in November of 2010 and it is aimed directly at Democratic politicians.
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