Thursday, October 25, 2012

Real Clear Politics Changes Electoral Projection Based On Democratic Pollster?

By Susan Duclos

The Real Clear Politics Electoral Map has been reading 206 for Romney, 201 for Obama for approximately a week now, having moved North Carolina into the leans Romney category.



Six of the last seven polls listed for North Carolina shows Romney up by anywhere from 2 to 9 percentage points and their average has Romney up by five percentage points.

One poll, by Democratic pollster Public Policy Polling, which even RCP lists as (D), shows a tie and on that basis, Real Clear Politics moved North Carolina back to "toss-up"?

Now the RCP Electoral Map shows Obama, 201, and Romney, 191, where it was before they moved North Carolina into the lean Romney category in the first place.



Should RCP be allowing a pollster that even they specifically mark as (D) after each of their polls, to influence their electoral map?

[Updated] An addition thought here - I am just as against any poll that RCP lists as (R) to have any influence on their averages or their electoral map projections.